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Methodology

Anatomy of the Workforce Signal

Every market carries a single 0–100 composite score. It is a transparent weighted blend of five pillars, each normalized against the national talent graph and refreshed quarterly.

Model v4.2

Weight simulator

Drag the pillar weights to see how the composite responds. Values normalize automatically — explore trade-offs without doing the math.

Talent Supply28%
Wage Stability22%
Demand Momentum20%
Retention18%
Skills Coverage12%
Weights total 100% ✓
Weight distribution
Supply 28% Wage 22% Demand 20% Retention 18% Skills 12%
Composite = Σ ( pillari × weighti ) — production weights are fixed per model version and audited quarterly.

Live result

76
Go

Austin scores 76 (Go) under this weighting.

The five pillars

what each measures and how it is normalized
Talent Supply
28%

Density of active and passive candidates relative to open requisitions, adjusted for role seniority.

Candidate-to-role ratio
Primary
Passive reachability
Modifier
Inflow / outflow
Modifier
Wage Stability
22%

Inverse of compensation volatility — offer inflation, counter-offer frequency, and comp-band drift.

90-day offer inflation
Primary
Counter-offer rate
Modifier
Band compression
Modifier
Demand Momentum
20%

Direction and velocity of hiring demand — net new requisitions and posting acceleration.

Net new requisitions
Primary
Posting velocity
Modifier
Repost / expiry rate
Modifier
Retention
18%

Inverse of voluntary attrition and regret exits, weighted toward high-impact roles.

Voluntary attrition
Primary
Regret-exit share
Modifier
Median tenure
Modifier
Skills Coverage
12%

Overlap between required skill graphs and the skills present in the available candidate pool.

Required-skill match
Primary
Emerging-skill gap
Modifier
Credential density
Modifier

Composite bands

hiring recommendation
Go
Favorable conditions — scale hiring with standard cycles.
70–100
Conditional
Mixed signals — proceed with sourcing and comp guardrails.
45–69
Hold
Structural constraint — expect long cycles and premium comp.
0–44

Risk levels

volatility index (0–100)
Watch
Stable market; routine monitoring only.
0–24
Elevated
Pressure building; tighten pipeline coverage.
25–49
Severe
Acute constraint; contingency sourcing advised.
50–74
Critical
Structural shortfall; escalate to workforce planning.
75–100

Learn about our Research lab and more information can be found at our Library including our research and methodology methods.